Ammanford 0-1 Llantwit Major — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 13 Jan 2024

📅13/01/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.64
Draw
23%
4.08
Away
27%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
Over 2.5
61%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.49
No
43%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
7%
2/1
4%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
57%
-6.9pp
23%
Draw
21%
+1.6pp
27%
Away Win
22%
+5.3pp
57%
BTTS Yes
63%
-6.2pp
43%
BTTS No
37%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ammanford EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Llantwit Major EU Bookmakers 25%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
2.52/1.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.68/2.62
+20% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / -16%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
368 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ammanford
1W-3D-0L
AWAY Llantwit Major
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
21.10.2023 Llantwit Major 0-0 HT 0-0 Ammanford Ammanford GALFAW
07.04.2023 Ammanford Ammanford 3-2 HT 2-1 Llantwit Major GALFAW
18.03.2023 Llantwit Major 1-1 HT 0-1 Ammanford Ammanford GALFAW
26.03.2022 Llantwit Major 1-1 HT 0-1 Ammanford Ammanford GALFAW
POST-MATCH Ammanford vs Llantwit Major
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Llantwit Major squeezed past Ammanford 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Ammanford at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Ammanford had the better of it with 1 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Ammanford and 1.00 for Llantwit Major.

What was the final score of Ammanford vs Llantwit Major?

Ammanford 0-1 Llantwit Major in the Wales - FAW Championship on 13/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ammanford vs Llantwit Major?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ammanford win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Ammanford 50%, draw 23%, Llantwit Major 27%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Ammanford) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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