Cwmbran Celtic 2-1 Goytre United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.12
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
45%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
3.17
Over 2.5
65%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.32
No
38%
3.08
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
5%
1/X
13%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
26%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
43%
-14.4pp
26%
Draw
23%
+3.5pp
45%
Away Win
34%
+11.0pp
35%
Under 2.5
28%
+7.3pp
65%
Over 2.5
72%
-7.3pp
62%
BTTS Yes
72%
-9.6pp
38%
BTTS No
28%
+9.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cwmbran Celtic EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Goytre United EU Bookmakers 38%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
2.25/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/2.92
+15% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -40%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
352 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cwmbran Celtic
3W-1D-0L
AWAY Goytre United
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
27.07.2023 Goytre United Goytre United 2-3 HT 1-1 Cwmbran Celtic Cwmbran Celtic GALFAW
18.03.2023 Cwmbran Celtic Cwmbran Celtic 1-1 HT 0-1 Goytre United Goytre United GALFAW
24.08.2022 Goytre United Goytre United 1-3 HT 1-1 Cwmbran Celtic Cwmbran Celtic GALFAW
05.03.2022 Cwmbran Celtic Cwmbran Celtic 1-0 HT 1-0 Goytre United Goytre United GALFAW
POST-MATCH Cwmbran Celtic vs Goytre United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cwmbran Celtic edged past Goytre United 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Goytre United at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (62%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Cwmbran Celtic had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Cwmbran Celtic and 1.00 for Goytre United.

What was the final score of Cwmbran Celtic vs Goytre United?

Cwmbran Celtic 2-1 Goytre United in the Wales - FAW Championship on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cwmbran Celtic vs Goytre United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Goytre United win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Cwmbran Celtic 29%, draw 26%, Goytre United 45%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Goytre United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Goytre United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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