Carmarthen Town 1-1 Llanelli Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 30 Nov 2024

📅30/11/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
4.71
Draw
19%
4.19
Away
43%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.33
Over 2.5
56%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.68
No
58%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
29%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
18%
+19.6pp
19%
Draw
21%
-1.1pp
43%
Away Win
61%
-18.4pp
44%
Under 2.5
39%
+4.6pp
56%
Over 2.5
61%
-4.6pp
42%
BTTS Yes
56%
-13.5pp
58%
BTTS No
44%
+13.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Carmarthen Town EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Llanelli Town EU Bookmakers 66%
-34% / -34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +2%
0.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.38/1.02
-100% / +106% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +20%
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
309 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 451 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Carmarthen Town
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Llanelli Town
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
3 Corners 13
16.08.2024 Llanelli Town Llanelli Town 1-1 HT 0-0 Carmarthen Town Carmarthen Town GALFAW
16.03.2024 Carmarthen Town Carmarthen Town 0-1 HT 0-1 Llanelli Town Llanelli Town GALFAW
18.08.2023 Llanelli Town Llanelli Town 4-3 HT 1-1 Carmarthen Town Carmarthen Town GALFAW
11.02.2023 Carmarthen Town Carmarthen Town 1-3 HT 1-1 Llanelli Town Llanelli Town GALFAW
04.11.2022 Llanelli Town Llanelli Town 0-3 HT 0-1 Carmarthen Town Carmarthen Town GALFAW
12.03.2022 Carmarthen Town Carmarthen Town 3-1 HT 0-0 Llanelli Town Llanelli Town GALFAW
POST-MATCH Carmarthen Town vs Llanelli Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Carmarthen Town and Llanelli Town shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 19% / 43% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Llanelli Town led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Carmarthen Town and 1.67 for Llanelli Town.

What was the final score of Carmarthen Town vs Llanelli Town?

Carmarthen Town 1-1 Llanelli Town in the Wales - FAW Championship on 30/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Carmarthen Town vs Llanelli Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Llanelli Town win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Carmarthen Town 38%, draw 19%, Llanelli Town 43%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Llanelli Town) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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