Mold Alexandra 0-1 Guilsfield — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 30 Nov 2024

📅30/11/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.8
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
31%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.63
Over 2.5
52%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.41
No
49%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
52%
-9.0pp
26%
Draw
22%
+3.7pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+5.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
34%
+13.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
66%
-13.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
67%
-15.7pp
49%
BTTS No
33%
+15.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mold Alexandra EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Guilsfield EU Bookmakers 29%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
2.01/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.52
-2% / +67% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +33%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
366 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 243 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mold Alexandra
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Guilsfield
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
28.09.2024 Guilsfield 1-2 HT 0-1 Mold Alexandra GALFAW
10.02.2024 Guilsfield 0-3 HT 0-1 Mold Alexandra GALFAW
23.09.2023 Mold Alexandra 3-0 HT 3-0 Guilsfield GALFAW
15.04.2023 Mold Alexandra 0-1 HT 0-0 Guilsfield GALFAW
POST-MATCH Mold Alexandra vs Guilsfield
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guilsfield nicked a narrow win over Mold Alexandra 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Mold Alexandra at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Mold Alexandra had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Mold Alexandra and 0.50 for Guilsfield.

What was the final score of Mold Alexandra vs Guilsfield?

Mold Alexandra 0-1 Guilsfield in the Wales - FAW Championship on 30/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mold Alexandra vs Guilsfield?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mold Alexandra win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Mold Alexandra 43%, draw 26%, Guilsfield 31%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Mold Alexandra) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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