Guilsfield 1-2 Mold Alexandra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.19
Draw
17%
3.64
Away
38%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.51
Over 2.5
60%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.43
No
48%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
7%
X/X
6%
2/1
4%
2/2
23%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
42%
+3.0pp
17%
Draw
24%
-6.8pp
38%
Away Win
34%
+3.7pp
40%
Under 2.5
36%
+3.7pp
60%
Over 2.5
64%
-3.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
66%
-13.9pp
48%
BTTS No
34%
+13.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guilsfield EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Mold Alexandra EU Bookmakers 38%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
1.89/1.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/0.93
+1% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +91%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
314 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 371 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guilsfield
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Mold Alexandra
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
10.02.2024 Guilsfield 0-3 HT 0-1 Mold Alexandra GALFAW
23.09.2023 Mold Alexandra 3-0 HT 3-0 Guilsfield GALFAW
15.04.2023 Mold Alexandra 0-1 HT 0-0 Guilsfield GALFAW
POST-MATCH Guilsfield vs Mold Alexandra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mold Alexandra nicked a narrow win over Guilsfield 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Guilsfield at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Mold Alexandra led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Guilsfield and 2.00 for Mold Alexandra.

What was the final score of Guilsfield vs Mold Alexandra?

Guilsfield 1-2 Mold Alexandra in the Wales - FAW Championship on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guilsfield vs Mold Alexandra?

Before kick-off our model rated a Guilsfield win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Guilsfield 45%, draw 17%, Mold Alexandra 38%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Guilsfield) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Guilsfield) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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