Ruthin Town 1-1 Caersws — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.09
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
32%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.89
Over 2.5
54%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.38
No
46%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
51%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
14%
X/X
6%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
44%
+3.5pp
21%
Draw
23%
-2.4pp
32%
Away Win
33%
-1.1pp
46%
Under 2.5
31%
+14.5pp
54%
Over 2.5
69%
-14.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
68%
-14.8pp
46%
BTTS No
32%
+14.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ruthin Town EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Caersws EU Bookmakers 37%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -23% / -23%
2.31/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.52
+19% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / +15%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
438 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ruthin Town
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Caersws
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
3 Corners 6
10.08.2024 Caersws Caersws 2-1 HT 2-0 Ruthin Town Ruthin Town GALFAW
09.03.2024 Ruthin Town Ruthin Town 1-2 HT 0-2 Caersws Caersws GALFAW
26.08.2023 Caersws Caersws 5-1 HT 3-1 Ruthin Town Ruthin Town GALFAW
POST-MATCH Ruthin Town vs Caersws
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ruthin Town and Caersws shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Ruthin Town at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Caersws led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Ruthin Town and 3.00 for Caersws.

What was the final score of Ruthin Town vs Caersws?

Ruthin Town 1-1 Caersws in the Wales - FAW Championship on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ruthin Town vs Caersws?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ruthin Town win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Ruthin Town 47%, draw 21%, Caersws 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ruthin Town), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ruthin Town) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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