Llay Miners Welfare 1-1 Penrhyncoch — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 28 Sep 2024

Llay Miners Welfare
1-1 HT 1-1
Penrhyncoch
📅28/09/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Wales - FAW Championship – 2024/2025

Llay Miners Welfare vs Penrhyncoch Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.86
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
35%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.96
Over 2.5
56%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.38
No
43%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
15%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
50%
-8.4pp
23%
Draw
22%
+0.4pp
36%
Away Win
28%
+7.9pp
44%
Under 2.5
30%
+13.9pp
56%
Over 2.5
70%
-13.9pp
57%
BTTS Yes
68%
-11.6pp
43%
BTTS No
32%
+11.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Llay Miners Welfare v Penrhyncoch — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Llay Miners Welfare EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Penrhyncoch EU Bookmakers 31%
-58% / -58% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
3.00/5.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.66/1.96
+48% / -70% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -55% / +2%
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
334 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Llay Miners Welfare vs Penrhyncoch
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Llay Miners Welfare and Penrhyncoch couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Llay Miners Welfare at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (57%) landed while over 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

What was the final score of Llay Miners Welfare vs Penrhyncoch?

Llay Miners Welfare 1-1 Penrhyncoch in the Wales - FAW Championship on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Llay Miners Welfare vs Penrhyncoch?

Before kick-off our model rated a Llay Miners Welfare win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Llay Miners Welfare 42%, draw 23%, Penrhyncoch 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Llay Miners Welfare), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Llay Miners Welfare) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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