Guilsfield 0-3 Mold Alexandra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 10 Feb 2024

📅10/02/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
2.19
Draw
21%
3.54
Away
27%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.51
Over 2.5
52%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.43
No
53%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
23%
X/2
4%
X/X
8%
2/1
14%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
41%
+10.2pp
21%
Draw
24%
-3.2pp
27%
Away Win
34%
-7.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
36%
+12.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
64%
-12.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
66%
-18.8pp
53%
BTTS No
34%
+18.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guilsfield EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Mold Alexandra EU Bookmakers 38%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +36% / +36%
2.11/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.44/0.78
+9% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +56% / +122%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 4
343 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guilsfield
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Mold Alexandra
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
23.09.2023 Mold Alexandra 3-0 HT 3-0 Guilsfield GALFAW
15.04.2023 Mold Alexandra 0-1 HT 0-0 Guilsfield GALFAW
POST-MATCH Guilsfield vs Mold Alexandra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mold Alexandra swept aside Guilsfield 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Guilsfield at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Guilsfield and 1.50 for Mold Alexandra.

What was the final score of Guilsfield vs Mold Alexandra?

Guilsfield 0-3 Mold Alexandra in the Wales - FAW Championship on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guilsfield vs Mold Alexandra?

Before kick-off our model rated a Guilsfield win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Guilsfield 52%, draw 21%, Mold Alexandra 27%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Guilsfield) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Guilsfield) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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