Llay Miners Welfare 3-1 Denbigh Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - League Cup, 19 Jul 2024

📅19/07/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.67
Draw
30%
4.08
Away
38%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
3.68
Over 2.5
63%
1.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.29
No
38%
3.23
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
11%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
34%
-1.6pp
29%
Draw
21%
+8.4pp
38%
Away Win
45%
-6.8pp
37%
Under 2.5
24%
+13.8pp
63%
Over 2.5
76%
-13.8pp
62%
BTTS Yes
73%
-11.6pp
38%
BTTS No
27%
+11.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Llay Miners Welfare EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Denbigh Town EU Bookmakers 49%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
43% Ball Possession 57%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
230 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 450 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Llay Miners Welfare vs Denbigh Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Llay Miners Welfare saw off Denbigh Town 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (32% / 29% / 38%) promised a tight game; Llay Miners Welfare found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (62%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Llay Miners Welfare vs Denbigh Town?

Llay Miners Welfare 3-1 Denbigh Town in the Wales - League Cup on 19/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Llay Miners Welfare vs Denbigh Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Denbigh Town win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Llay Miners Welfare 32%, draw 29%, Denbigh Town 38%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Denbigh Town) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Denbigh Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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