Afan Lido 1-3 Cardiff City U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - League Cup, 19 Jul 2024

📅19/07/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
4.04
Draw
21%
4.62
Away
57%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
3.14
Over 2.5
61%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
No
46%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
4%
X/2
26%
X/X
7%
2/1
3%
2/2
22%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
21%
+1.1pp
21%
Draw
18%
+3.1pp
57%
Away Win
61%
-4.1pp
39%
Under 2.5
28%
+10.7pp
61%
Over 2.5
72%
-10.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Afan Lido EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Cardiff City U21 EU Bookmakers 66%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -26% / -26%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -67%
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
261 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 412 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Afan Lido vs Cardiff City U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cardiff City U21 saw off Afan Lido 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Cardiff City U21 as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%) came in.

What was the final score of Afan Lido vs Cardiff City U21?

Afan Lido 1-3 Cardiff City U21 in the Wales - League Cup on 19/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Afan Lido vs Cardiff City U21?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cardiff City U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Afan Lido 22%, draw 21%, Cardiff City U21 57%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cardiff City U21), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cardiff City U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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