Flint Mountain 0-3 Gresford Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - League Cup, 19 Jul 2024

📅19/07/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.76
Draw
20%
4.08
Away
29%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.63
Over 2.5
61%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.46
No
47%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
23%
X/2
8%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
52%
-1.8pp
20%
Draw
21%
-1.0pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+2.7pp
39%
Under 2.5
34%
+5.0pp
61%
Over 2.5
66%
-5.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
64%
-11.2pp
47%
BTTS No
36%
+11.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Flint Mountain EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Gresford Athletic EU Bookmakers 30%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +22%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -49% / +123%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
330 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Flint Mountain vs Gresford Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gresford Athletic ran out comfortable winners over Flint Mountain 3-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Flint Mountain at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%) came in.

What was the final score of Flint Mountain vs Gresford Athletic?

Flint Mountain 0-3 Gresford Athletic in the Wales - League Cup on 19/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Flint Mountain vs Gresford Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Flint Mountain win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Flint Mountain 51%, draw 20%, Gresford Athletic 29%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Flint Mountain), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Flint Mountain) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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