Deportivo Maldonado 1-0 Torque — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 24 Mar 2026

📅24/03/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.12
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
30%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.75
Over 2.5
43%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
43%
-1.1pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.3pp
30%
Away Win
29%
+1.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
53%
+3.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
47%
-3.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.9pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Maldonado EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Torque EU Bookmakers 32%
-1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -14%
1.08/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.26
-16% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -9%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
370 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Maldonado
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Torque
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
09.02.2024 Torque Torque 2-0 HT 1-0 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado URUK
29.11.2023 Torque Torque 5-1 HT 2-0 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado URU
01.05.2023 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado 3-2 HT 2-1 Torque Torque URU
10.09.2022 Torque Torque 3-3 HT 0-1 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado URU
20.07.2022 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado 1-1 HT 1-0 Torque Torque URU
04.04.2022 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado 2-1 HT 0-1 Torque Torque URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Maldonado
1-0
AWAY Torque
44% Ball Possession 56%
6 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
0 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Deportivo Maldonado vs Torque
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Maldonado nicked a narrow win over Torque 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Deportivo Maldonado as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Deportivo Maldonado had 44% of the ball to Torque's 56%, shots finished 6-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Deportivo Maldonado and 2.33 for Torque.

What was the final score of Deportivo Maldonado vs Torque?

Deportivo Maldonado 1-0 Torque in the Uruguay - Premier League on 24/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Maldonado vs Torque?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Maldonado win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Maldonado 42%, draw 28%, Torque 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo Maldonado), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Deportivo Maldonado) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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URU More Uruguay - Premier League
24 Mar 2026
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