Chorley 0-0 Curzon Ashton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 24 Apr 2024

📅24/04/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.76
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
32%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.91
Over 2.5
47%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.76
No
55%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
3.41
2-3 Goals
42%
1.79
4-5 Goals
20%
3.48
6+ Goals
8%
13.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.41 — our 30% vs market 23.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
53%
-9.8pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.6pp
32%
Away Win
23%
+9.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
53%
-7.7pp
55%
BTTS No
47%
+7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chorley EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Curzon Ashton EU Bookmakers 26%
+3% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +30%
2.15/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.10
+21% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +37%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
409 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chorley
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Curzon Ashton
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
23.12.2023 Chorley Chorley 4-0 HT 2-0 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton İCON
30.09.2023 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton 2-1 HT 0-1 Chorley Chorley FAK
09.09.2023 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton 0-1 HT 0-1 Chorley Chorley İCON
25.03.2023 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton 2-1 HT 2-0 Chorley Chorley İCON
03.12.2022 Chorley Chorley 3-0 HT 1-0 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton İCON
18.04.2022 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton 1-0 HT 1-0 Chorley Chorley İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chorley
0-0
AWAY Curzon Ashton
55% Ball Possession 45%
9 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Chorley vs Curzon Ashton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chorley and Curzon Ashton fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Chorley at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Chorley had 55% of the ball to Curzon Ashton's 45%, shots finished 9-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Chorley and 0.83 for Curzon Ashton.

What was the final score of Chorley vs Curzon Ashton?

Chorley 0-0 Curzon Ashton in the England - Conference on 24/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chorley vs Curzon Ashton?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chorley win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Chorley 43%, draw 25%, Curzon Ashton 32%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Chorley) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chorley) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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