Maidstone United 2-1 Aveley — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 24 Apr 2024

📅24/04/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.8
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
26%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.8
Over 2.5
48%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.85
No
47%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.07
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
23%
3.81
6+ Goals
12%
16.5
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.81 — our 23% vs market 21.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
8%
1/X
12%
X/1
10%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
52%
-6.0pp
29%
Draw
25%
+4.0pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+1.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
50%
+2.8pp
47%
BTTS No
50%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Maidstone United EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Aveley EU Bookmakers 27%
+4% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +12%
1.56/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.48
-7% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +1%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
328 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Maidstone United
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Aveley
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
47% Ball Possession 53%
6 Total Shots 8
1 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
19.02.2024 Aveley Aveley 2-0 HT 0-0 Maidstone United Maidstone United İCON
05.09.2023 Maidstone United Maidstone United 0-1 HT 0-0 Aveley Aveley İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Maidstone United
2-1
AWAY Aveley
69% Ball Possession 31%
13 Total Shots 4
8 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Maidstone United vs Aveley
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Maidstone United squeezed past Aveley 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Maidstone United as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Maidstone United had 69% of the ball to Aveley's 31%, shots finished 13-4.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Aveley led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Maidstone United and 1.50 for Aveley.

What was the final score of Maidstone United vs Aveley?

Maidstone United 2-1 Aveley in the England - Conference on 24/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Maidstone United vs Aveley?

Before kick-off our model rated a Maidstone United win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Maidstone United 46%, draw 29%, Aveley 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Maidstone United), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Maidstone United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İCON More England - Conference
24 Apr 2024
21:45 Chorley vs Curzon Ashton Analysis →