Central Coast Mariners 3-0 Abdish — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AFCŞL2, 24 Apr 2024

📅24/04/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.47
Draw
26%
4.19
Away
22%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
2.07
Over 2.5
43%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.85
No
54%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
3.92
2-3 Goals
35%
1.84
4-5 Goals
23%
3.15
6+ Goals
9%
10.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.92 — our 33% vs market 20.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1.82
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
4%
17.6
X/1
21%
3.62
X/2
9%
12.65
X/X
12%
6.13
2/1
6%
22.3
2/2
9%
9.95
2/X
11%
18.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
64%
-12.0pp
26%
Draw
21%
+5.6pp
22%
Away Win
16%
+6.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
44%
+12.3pp
43%
Over 2.5
56%
-12.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
50%
-4.1pp
54%
BTTS No
50%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Central Coast Mariners EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Abdish EU Bookmakers 19%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
368 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Central Coast Mariners
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Abdish
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.44 xG 0.47
34% Ball Possession 66%
4 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 5
0 Corners 7
222 Passes 524
69% Pass Accuracy 87%
7 Box Touches 16
2 Crosses 24
0 Yellow Cards 5
17.04.2024 Abdish 1-1 HT 0-0 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners AFCŞL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Central Coast Mariners
3-0
AWAY Abdish
1.72 xG 0.36
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 4
307 Passes 383
76% Pass Accuracy 81%
20 Box Touches 19
17 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Central Coast Mariners vs Abdish
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Central Coast Mariners ran out comfortable winners over Abdish 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Central Coast Mariners as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Central Coast Mariners had 46% of the ball to Abdish's 54%, shots finished 10-9, expected goals 1.72 to 0.36.

What was the final score of Central Coast Mariners vs Abdish?

Central Coast Mariners 3-0 Abdish in the AFCŞL2 on 24/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Central Coast Mariners vs Abdish?

Before kick-off our model rated a Central Coast Mariners win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Central Coast Mariners 52%, draw 26%, Abdish 22%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Central Coast Mariners), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Central Coast Mariners) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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