Anderlecht 3-0 Cercle Brugge — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 24 Apr 2024

📅24/04/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.86
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
26%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.1
Over 2.5
47%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.61
No
50%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
4.08
2-3 Goals
42%
1.85
4-5 Goals
23%
3.07
6+ Goals
9%
9.82
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.08 — our 26% vs market 19.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.5
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.3
X/1
15%
4.48
X/2
10%
7.9
X/X
11%
5.29
2/1
10%
22.3
2/2
9%
5.51
2/X
6%
13.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
50%
+0.5pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.0pp
26%
Away Win
26%
+0.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
44%
+9.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
56%
-9.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.3pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Anderlecht EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Cercle Brugge EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -1%
1.74/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.61
+2% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +6%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
379 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 78%
24.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.8
15.3 Crosses 16.8
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Anderlecht
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Cercle Brugge
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.55 xG 1.05
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
323 Passes 272
74% Pass Accuracy 70%
19 Box Touches 22
12 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 2
27.12.2023 Anderlecht Anderlecht 2-0 HT 1-0 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge BEL
05.11.2023 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 0-3 HT 0-2 Anderlecht Anderlecht BEL
12.03.2023 Anderlecht Anderlecht 2-0 HT 1-0 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge BEL
30.07.2022 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 1-0 HT 0-0 Anderlecht Anderlecht BEL
26.01.2022 Anderlecht Anderlecht 0-2 HT 0-0 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge BEL
15.08.2021 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 1-2 HT 1-2 Anderlecht Anderlecht BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Anderlecht
3-0
AWAY Cercle Brugge
1.99 xG 0.56
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
380 Passes 266
73% Pass Accuracy 68%
23 Box Touches 19
14 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Anderlecht vs Cercle Brugge
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Anderlecht cruised past Cercle Brugge 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Anderlecht as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Anderlecht had 57% of the ball to Cercle Brugge's 43%, shots finished 12-7, expected goals 1.99 to 0.56.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Anderlecht had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Anderlecht and 0.67 for Cercle Brugge.

What was the final score of Anderlecht vs Cercle Brugge?

Anderlecht 3-0 Cercle Brugge in the Belgium - Pro League on 24/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Anderlecht vs Cercle Brugge?

Before kick-off our model rated a Anderlecht win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Anderlecht 50%, draw 24%, Cercle Brugge 26%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Anderlecht) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Anderlecht) ✗ Under 2.5
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BEL More Belgium - Pro League
24 Apr 2024
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