Club Brugge 4-0 Genk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 24 Apr 2024

Club Brugge
4-0 HT 1-0
Genk
📅24/04/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Belgium - Pro League – 2023/2024

Club Brugge vs Genk Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
30%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.0
Over 2.5
50%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.7
No
51%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.79
2-3 Goals
36%
1.83
4-5 Goals
25%
3.22
6+ Goals
10%
11.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.79 — our 29% vs market 21.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.31
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
9%
13.7
X/1
18%
4.22
X/2
11%
8.83
X/X
13%
5.16
2/1
7%
22.7
2/2
12%
6.49
2/X
5%
14.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
53%
-8.6pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.3pp
30%
Away Win
23%
+7.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
46%
+4.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
54%
-4.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
55%
-6.0pp
51%
BTTS No
45%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Club Brugge v Genk — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Club Brugge EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Genk EU Bookmakers 26%
+2% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +7%
1.77/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.73/1.61
+0% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +1%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
292 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 78%
28.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.1
21.5 Crosses 14.2
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.7

Club Brugge vs Genk Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Club Brugge
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Genk
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.66 xG 1.87
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 3
369 Passes 324
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
29 Box Touches 27
18 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
03.03.2024 Genk Genk 0-3 HT 0-1 Club Brugge Club Brugge BEL
28.09.2023 Club Brugge Club Brugge 1-1 HT 0-1 Genk Genk BEL
28.05.2023 Club Brugge Club Brugge 1-3 HT 0-1 Genk Genk BEL
30.04.2023 Genk Genk 3-1 HT 1-1 Club Brugge Club Brugge BEL
08.01.2023 Genk Genk 3-1 HT 1-1 Club Brugge Club Brugge BEL
24.07.2022 Club Brugge Club Brugge 3-2 HT 1-1 Genk Genk BEL

Club Brugge 4-0 Genk — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Club Brugge
4-0
AWAY Genk
1.97 xG 0.94
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
0 Corners 4
439 Passes 370
84% Pass Accuracy 82%
50 Box Touches 19
12 Crosses 18
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Club Brugge vs Genk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Club Brugge ran out comfortable winners over Genk 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Club Brugge as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Club Brugge had 53% of the ball to Genk's 47%, shots finished 15-12, expected goals 1.97 to 0.94.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Genk led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Club Brugge and 2.00 for Genk.

What was the final score of Club Brugge vs Genk?

Club Brugge 4-0 Genk in the Belgium - Pro League on 24/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Club Brugge vs Genk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Club Brugge win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Club Brugge 44%, draw 26%, Genk 30%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Club Brugge), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Club Brugge) ✓ BTTS No
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