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Lyon (K) vs Guingamp (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Lyon (K) v Guingamp (K) — Team-Based Signals
Lyon (K) 2-1 Guingamp (K) — Actual Match Statistics
Lyon (K) squeezed past Guingamp (K) 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Lyon (K) as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (61%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.
On the day, Lyon (K) had 56% of the ball to Guingamp (K)'s 44%, shots finished 19-8, expected goals 1.85 to 0.46 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Lyon (K)'s control.
What was the final score of Lyon (K) vs Guingamp (K)?
Lyon (K) 2-1 Guingamp (K) in the France - Women's 1st Divisioni on 24/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Lyon (K) vs Guingamp (K)?
Before kick-off our model rated a Lyon (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Lyon (K) 67%, draw 19%, Guingamp (K) 14%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lyon (K)), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.