PSG (K) 1-1 Paris FC (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Women's 1st Divisioni, 24 Apr 2024

📅24/04/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.89
Draw
31%
3.54
Away
27%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.23
Over 2.5
57%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.53
No
43%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
4%
X/X
18%
2/1
4%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
49%
-6.8pp
31%
Draw
25%
+6.3pp
26%
Away Win
26%
+0.6pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+1.6pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-1.6pp
57%
BTTS Yes
61%
-4.1pp
43%
BTTS No
39%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PSG (K) EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Paris FC (K) EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +58% / +58%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% /
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
373 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PSG (K)
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Paris FC (K)
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
17.12.2023 Paris FC (K) Paris FC (K) 1-2 HT 1-2 PSG (K) PSG (K) FRK1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PSG (K)
1-1
AWAY Paris FC (K)
0.36 xG 2.15
56% Ball Possession 44%
5 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 7
430 Passes 321
84% Pass Accuracy 81%
12 Box Touches 37
5 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH PSG (K) vs Paris FC (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PSG (K) and Paris FC (K) shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was PSG (K) at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (57%) landed while over 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

On the day, PSG (K) had 56% of the ball to Paris FC (K)'s 44%, shots finished 5-18, expected goals 0.36 to 2.15.

What was the final score of PSG (K) vs Paris FC (K)?

PSG (K) 1-1 Paris FC (K) in the France - Women's 1st Divisioni on 24/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PSG (K) vs Paris FC (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a PSG (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split PSG (K) 42%, draw 31%, Paris FC (K) 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (PSG (K)), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (PSG (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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