FC Goa 2-3 Mumbai City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — India - Super League, 24 Apr 2024

FC Goa
2-3 HT 1-0
Mumbai City
📅24/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
India - Super League – 2023/2024

FC Goa vs Mumbai City Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.12
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
29%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.91
Over 2.5
51%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.68
No
52%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.46
2-3 Goals
35%
1.79
4-5 Goals
22%
3.45
6+ Goals
11%
13.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.46 — our 32% vs market 23.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
43%
+3.4pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.8pp
29%
Away Win
30%
-0.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.9pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

FC Goa v Mumbai City — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Goa EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Mumbai City EU Bookmakers 33%
+1% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
1.56/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/1.13
+1% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +59% / +27%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
356 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 78%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.4
18.7 Crosses 15.9
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.9

FC Goa vs Mumbai City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Goa
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Mumbai City
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.37 xG 1.60
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 4
307 Passes 267
80% Pass Accuracy 76%
20 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
28.02.2024 Mumbai City Mumbai City 1-1 HT 0-0 FC Goa FC Goa HİNSL
12.12.2023 FC Goa FC Goa 0-0 HT 0-0 Mumbai City Mumbai City HİNSL
11.02.2023 FC Goa FC Goa 3-5 HT 2-3 Mumbai City Mumbai City HİNSL
01.12.2022 Mumbai City Mumbai City 4-1 HT 2-1 FC Goa FC Goa HİNSL
26.02.2022 FC Goa FC Goa 0-2 HT 0-1 Mumbai City Mumbai City HİNSL
22.11.2021 Mumbai City Mumbai City 3-0 HT 2-0 FC Goa FC Goa HİNSL

FC Goa 2-3 Mumbai City — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Goa
2-3
AWAY Mumbai City
1.11 xG 2.01
39% Ball Possession 61%
16 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 2
236 Passes 407
71% Pass Accuracy 80%
18 Box Touches 19
10 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH FC Goa vs Mumbai City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mumbai City edged past FC Goa 3-2 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was FC Goa at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, FC Goa had 39% of the ball to Mumbai City's 61%, shots finished 16-16, expected goals 1.11 to 2.01.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mumbai City led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for FC Goa and 2.50 for Mumbai City.

What was the final score of FC Goa vs Mumbai City?

FC Goa 2-3 Mumbai City in the India - Super League on 24/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Goa vs Mumbai City?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Goa win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split FC Goa 47%, draw 24%, Mumbai City 29%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (FC Goa), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Goa) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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