Twente 3-1 Almere City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 24 Apr 2024

Twente
3-1 HT 1-0
Almere City
📅24/04/2024 · 🕒19:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
Netherlands - Eredivisie – 2023/2024

Twente vs Almere City Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.3
Draw
23%
4.81
Away
19%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.07
Over 2.5
56%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.16
No
54%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
3.96
2-3 Goals
41%
1.84
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
28%
3.13
6+ Goals
11%
10.35
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.13 — our 28% vs market 26.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1.5
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
5%
24.85
X/1
18%
3.28
X/2
7%
20.6
X/X
10%
7.3
2/1
10%
24.85
2/2
7%
17.45
2/X
7%
25.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
72%
-14.2pp
23%
Draw
17%
+5.4pp
19%
Away Win
10%
+8.9pp
44%
Under 2.5
44%
-0.8pp
56%
Over 2.5
56%
+0.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
42%
+4.1pp
54%
BTTS No
58%
-4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Twente v Almere City — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Twente EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Almere City EU Bookmakers 14%
-1% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +22%
2.29/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/2.40
-9% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +43% / +0%
63% Ball Possession 37%
19 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
499 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 190 · 66%
37.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.5
25.2 Crosses 16.1
1.2 Yellow Cards 3.0

Twente vs Almere City Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Twente
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Almere City
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.37 xG 0.56
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
354 Passes 291
77% Pass Accuracy 74%
29 Box Touches 17
16 Crosses 12
0 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
13.08.2023 Almere City Almere City 1-4 HT 0-0 Twente Twente HOL
26.01.2019 Almere City Almere City 1-3 HT 0-2 Twente Twente HOL2
26.10.2018 Twente Twente 1-0 HT 1-0 Almere City Almere City HOL2

Twente 3-1 Almere City — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Twente
3-1
AWAY Almere City
1.58 xG 0.17
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 4
310 Passes 281
71% Pass Accuracy 70%
18 Box Touches 10
14 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Twente vs Almere City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Twente saw off Almere City 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Twente as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Twente had 52% of the ball to Almere City's 48%, shots finished 15-7, expected goals 1.58 to 0.17.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Twente had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Twente and 0.67 for Almere City.

What was the final score of Twente vs Almere City?

Twente 3-1 Almere City in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 24/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Twente vs Almere City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Twente win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Twente 58%, draw 23%, Almere City 19%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Twente), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Twente) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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