SSC Farul 3-1 Rapid Bucarest — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Romania - 1st Division, 24 Apr 2024

📅24/04/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.53
Draw
32%
3.18
Away
29%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.91
Over 2.5
41%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.66
No
55%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
3.48
2-3 Goals
44%
1.8
4-5 Goals
16%
3.43
6+ Goals
7%
12.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.48 — our 33% vs market 23.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
10%
X/X
18%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
36%
+2.8pp
32%
Draw
28%
+4.1pp
29%
Away Win
36%
-7.0pp
59%
Under 2.5
48%
+11.0pp
41%
Over 2.5
52%
-11.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
56%
-11.6pp
55%
BTTS No
44%
+11.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SSC Farul EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Rapid Bucarest EU Bookmakers 40%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +1%
1.61/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/0.65
+1% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +17%
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
317 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SSC Farul
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Rapid Bucarest
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
2.75 xG 1.89
53% Ball Possession 47%
18 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
15.03.2024 Rapid Bucarest Rapid Bucarest 1-2 HT 0-1 SSC Farul SSC Farul ROM
20.12.2023 SSC Farul SSC Farul 0-0 HT 0-0 Rapid Bucarest Rapid Bucarest ROM
20.08.2023 Rapid Bucarest Rapid Bucarest 3-1 HT 2-0 SSC Farul SSC Farul ROM
06.05.2023 SSC Farul SSC Farul 7-2 HT 4-0 Rapid Bucarest Rapid Bucarest ROM
01.04.2023 Rapid Bucarest Rapid Bucarest 1-1 HT 0-0 SSC Farul SSC Farul ROM
11.03.2023 SSC Farul SSC Farul 2-1 HT 1-1 Rapid Bucarest Rapid Bucarest ROM
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SSC Farul
3-1
AWAY Rapid Bucarest
60% Ball Possession 40%
20 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH SSC Farul vs Rapid Bucarest
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SSC Farul saw off Rapid Bucarest 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 32% / 29%) promised a tight game; SSC Farul found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, SSC Farul had 60% of the ball to Rapid Bucarest's 40%, shots finished 20-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, SSC Farul had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for SSC Farul and 1.33 for Rapid Bucarest.

What was the final score of SSC Farul vs Rapid Bucarest?

SSC Farul 3-1 Rapid Bucarest in the Romania - 1st Division on 24/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SSC Farul vs Rapid Bucarest?

Before kick-off our model rated a SSC Farul win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split SSC Farul 39%, draw 32%, Rapid Bucarest 29%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (SSC Farul) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (SSC Farul) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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