Afturelding 1-0 Vikingur R. — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 24 Apr 2025

📅24/04/2025 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
4.65
Draw
21%
4.19
Away
58%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
Over 2.5
65%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.55
No
40%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
10%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
40%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
18%
+3.1pp
20%
Draw
20%
-0.0pp
58%
Away Win
61%
-3.0pp
60%
BTTS Yes
60%
-0.2pp
40%
BTTS No
40%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Afturelding EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Vikingur R. EU Bookmakers 66%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +11%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +29%
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 7
243 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 31.4
Crosses 23.7
Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Afturelding
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Vikingur R.
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.50
28% Ball Possession 72%
3 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 10
16.02.2024 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. 4-1 Afturelding Afturelding İZLK
14.03.2023 Afturelding Afturelding 0-3 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. İZLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Afturelding
1-0
AWAY Vikingur R.
1.46 xG 1.91
43% Ball Possession 57%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
235 Passes 348
73% Pass Accuracy 82%
31 Box Touches 27
14 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Afturelding vs Vikingur R.
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Afturelding nicked a narrow win over Vikingur R. 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

This one beat our numbers. Vikingur R. carried 58% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Afturelding had 43% of the ball to Vikingur R.'s 57%, shots finished 13-14, expected goals 1.46 to 1.91 — on chances, Vikingur R. could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Vikingur R. led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Afturelding and 3.50 for Vikingur R..

What was the final score of Afturelding vs Vikingur R.?

Afturelding 1-0 Vikingur R. in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 24/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Afturelding vs Vikingur R.?

Before kick-off our model rated an Vikingur R. win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Afturelding 21%, draw 20%, Vikingur R. 58%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Vikingur R.) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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