Arema Malang vs Madura United Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Arema Malang v Madura United — Team-Based Signals
Arema Malang vs Madura United Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-0
Madura United
ENDL1
1-0
HT 1-0
Madura United
ENDL1
1-2
HT 0-0
Arema Malang
ENDL1
2-0
HT 1-0
Madura United
ENDL1
Madura United edged past Arema Malang 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Arema Malang at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Arema Malang had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Arema Malang and 1.00 for Madura United.
What was the final score of Arema Malang vs Madura United?
Arema Malang 0-1 Madura United in the Indonesia League 1 on 24/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Arema Malang vs Madura United?
Before kick-off our model rated a Arema Malang win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Arema Malang 41%, draw 26%, Madura United 32%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.