AZ Alkmaar vs NAC Breda Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
AZ Alkmaar v NAC Breda — Team-Based Signals
AZ Alkmaar vs NAC Breda Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-3
HT 0-1
NAC Breda
HOK
0-3
HT 0-1
AZ Alkmaar
HOL
5-0
HT 3-0
NAC Breda
HOL
1-3
HT 0-1
AZ Alkmaar
HOL
2-1
HT 0-0
NAC Breda
HOL
AZ Alkmaar 1-1 NAC Breda — Actual Match Statistics
AZ Alkmaar and NAC Breda couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.
Our pre-match lean was AZ Alkmaar at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, AZ Alkmaar had 71% of the ball to NAC Breda's 29%, shots finished 18-7, expected goals 1.32 to 0.48.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, AZ Alkmaar had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for AZ Alkmaar and 1.00 for NAC Breda.
What was the final score of AZ Alkmaar vs NAC Breda?
AZ Alkmaar 1-1 NAC Breda in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 24/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for AZ Alkmaar vs NAC Breda?
Before kick-off our model rated a AZ Alkmaar win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split AZ Alkmaar 54%, draw 23%, NAC Breda 23%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.