Twente 1-3 PSV Eindhoven — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 24 Apr 2025

📅24/04/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.75
Draw
17%
4.08
Away
54%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.98
Over 2.5
60%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.39
No
44%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
7.35
2-3 Goals
35%
2.26
4-5 Goals
27%
2.39
6+ Goals
17%
4.32
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
6.51
1/2
5%
17.5
1/X
5%
14.6
X/1
11%
10.3
X/2
19%
4.83
X/X
7%
7.52
2/1
8%
33.0
2/2
30%
2.06
2/X
5%
13.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
23%
+5.7pp
17%
Draw
21%
-4.4pp
54%
Away Win
55%
-1.3pp
40%
Under 2.5
30%
+9.6pp
60%
Over 2.5
70%
-9.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
68%
-11.6pp
44%
BTTS No
32%
+11.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Twente EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY PSV Eindhoven EU Bookmakers 60%
+13% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +2%
1.48/1.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.22/0.91
+31% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +14%
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
331 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 375 · 81%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 32.1
13.9 Crosses 18.5
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Twente
1W-0D-5L
AWAY PSV Eindhoven
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
0.88 xG 1.90
44% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 6
307 Passes 444
76% Pass Accuracy 83%
22 Box Touches 28
15 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
06.12.2024 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 6-1 HT 3-1 Twente Twente HOL
17.03.2024 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 1-0 HT 0-0 Twente Twente HOL
17.01.2024 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 3-1 HT 1-0 Twente Twente HOK
25.11.2023 Twente Twente 0-3 HT 0-1 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven HOL
26.02.2023 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 3-1 HT 1-0 Twente Twente HOL
03.09.2022 Twente Twente 2-1 HT 2-0 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven HOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Twente
1-3
AWAY PSV Eindhoven
0.81 xG 2.15
33% Ball Possession 67%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 5
208 Passes 492
75% Pass Accuracy 84%
11 Box Touches 38
25 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Twente vs PSV Eindhoven
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PSV Eindhoven got the better of Twente 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had PSV Eindhoven as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Twente had 33% of the ball to PSV Eindhoven's 67%, shots finished 8-16, expected goals 0.81 to 2.15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, PSV Eindhoven led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Twente and 2.83 for PSV Eindhoven.

What was the final score of Twente vs PSV Eindhoven?

Twente 1-3 PSV Eindhoven in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 24/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Twente vs PSV Eindhoven?

Before kick-off our model rated an PSV Eindhoven win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Twente 29%, draw 17%, PSV Eindhoven 54%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PSV Eindhoven), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (PSV Eindhoven) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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