PSV Eindhoven 6-1 Twente — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 6 Dec 2024

📅06/12/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.34
Draw
21%
4.81
Away
20%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.96
Over 2.5
61%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.6
No
48%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
7.04
2-3 Goals
38%
2.21
4-5 Goals
25%
2.49
6+ Goals
16%
4.92
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1.72
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
22.1
X/1 EV+ ✗
26%
4.35
X/2
6%
18.75
X/X
8%
9.93
2/1
8%
21.7
2/2
9%
12.3
2/X
6%
21.7
Value flag · X/1 at 4.35 — our 26% vs market 19.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
69%
-9.8pp
21%
Draw
17%
+3.7pp
20%
Away Win
14%
+6.1pp
39%
Under 2.5
30%
+8.9pp
61%
Over 2.5
70%
-8.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.9pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PSV Eindhoven EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Twente EU Bookmakers 17%
+4% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +12%
2.76/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.58
+33% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +12%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
410 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 76%
42.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.9
24.3 Crosses 12.7
0.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PSV Eindhoven
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Twente
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.67 xG 1.18
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
450 Passes 301
82% Pass Accuracy 74%
28 Box Touches 22
18 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.03.2024 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 1-0 HT 0-0 Twente Twente HOL
17.01.2024 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 3-1 HT 1-0 Twente Twente HOK
25.11.2023 Twente Twente 0-3 HT 0-1 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven HOL
26.02.2023 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 3-1 HT 1-0 Twente Twente HOL
03.09.2022 Twente Twente 2-1 HT 2-0 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven HOL
02.04.2022 Twente Twente 3-3 HT 3-1 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven HOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PSV Eindhoven
6-1
AWAY Twente
2.66 xG 1.05
62% Ball Possession 38%
20 Total Shots 8
12 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 2
497 Passes 257
87% Pass Accuracy 75%
35 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 12
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH PSV Eindhoven vs Twente
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PSV Eindhoven swept aside Twente 6-1. Half-time: 3-1. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had PSV Eindhoven as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 6-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, PSV Eindhoven had 62% of the ball to Twente's 38%, shots finished 20-8, expected goals 2.66 to 1.05.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, PSV Eindhoven had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for PSV Eindhoven and 1.17 for Twente.

What was the final score of PSV Eindhoven vs Twente?

PSV Eindhoven 6-1 Twente in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 06/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PSV Eindhoven vs Twente?

Before kick-off our model rated a PSV Eindhoven win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split PSV Eindhoven 59%, draw 21%, Twente 20%. The final score 6-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PSV Eindhoven), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (PSV Eindhoven) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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