PSV Eindhoven 1-0 Twente — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 17 Mar 2024

📅17/03/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.42
Draw
23%
4.49
Away
21%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
2.51
Over 2.5
64%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.7
No
45%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
5.45
2-3 Goals
35%
2.0
4-5 Goals
31%
2.67
6+ Goals
17%
6.47
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1.65
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
18.05
X/1
20%
3.76
X/2
8%
15.15
X/X
9%
7.41
2/1
7%
20.3
2/2
6%
10.8
2/X
7%
18.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
66%
-9.8pp
23%
Draw
19%
+3.7pp
21%
Away Win
14%
+6.1pp
36%
Under 2.5
36%
-0.0pp
64%
Over 2.5
64%
+0.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
55%
+0.5pp
45%
BTTS No
45%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PSV Eindhoven EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Twente EU Bookmakers 17%
+6% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +21%
1.87/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.71
+29% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +13%
55% Ball Possession 45%
18 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
408 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 77%
30.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.9
18.2 Crosses 12.4
0.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PSV Eindhoven
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Twente
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.88 xG 1.15
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
434 Passes 316
81% Pass Accuracy 74%
28 Box Touches 19
17 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.01.2024 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 3-1 HT 1-0 Twente Twente HOK
25.11.2023 Twente Twente 0-3 HT 0-1 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven HOL
26.02.2023 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 3-1 HT 1-0 Twente Twente HOL
03.09.2022 Twente Twente 2-1 HT 2-0 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven HOL
02.04.2022 Twente Twente 3-3 HT 3-1 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven HOL
30.10.2021 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 5-2 HT 2-2 Twente Twente HOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PSV Eindhoven
1-0
AWAY Twente
1.93 xG 0.79
63% Ball Possession 37%
17 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 7
492 Passes 244
85% Pass Accuracy 74%
38 Box Touches 27
26 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH PSV Eindhoven vs Twente
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PSV Eindhoven edged past Twente 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had PSV Eindhoven as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, PSV Eindhoven had 63% of the ball to Twente's 37%, shots finished 17-11, expected goals 1.93 to 0.79.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, PSV Eindhoven had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for PSV Eindhoven and 1.50 for Twente.

What was the final score of PSV Eindhoven vs Twente?

PSV Eindhoven 1-0 Twente in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PSV Eindhoven vs Twente?

Before kick-off our model rated a PSV Eindhoven win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split PSV Eindhoven 57%, draw 23%, Twente 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PSV Eindhoven) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (PSV Eindhoven) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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