Volendam 0-4 AZ Alkmaar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 17 Mar 2024

Volendam
0-4 HT 0-2
AZ Alkmaar
📅17/03/2024 · 🕒14:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
Netherlands - Eredivisie – 2023/2024

Volendam vs AZ Alkmaar Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
9.57
Draw
22%
5.71
Away
57%
1.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.61
Over 2.5
59%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.96
No
46%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
6.06
2-3 Goals
40%
2.08
4-5 Goals
26%
2.56
6+ Goals
14%
5.69
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
19.8
1/2
8%
22.3
1/X
8%
27.0
X/1
8%
27.0
X/2
23%
3.46
X/X
9%
10.05
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
26%
1.35
2/X
5%
28.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
7%
+14.0pp
22%
Draw
14%
+8.2pp
57%
Away Win
79%
-22.2pp
41%
Under 2.5
35%
+6.0pp
59%
Over 2.5
65%
-6.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
47%
+6.8pp
46%
BTTS No
53%
-6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Volendam v AZ Alkmaar — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Volendam EU Bookmakers 10%
Head to Head
AWAY AZ Alkmaar EU Bookmakers 84%
+5% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -9%
1.04/2.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.70/1.07
+15% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / -2%
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
291 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 430 · 82%
16.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 32.5
13.1 Crosses 20.0
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.9

Volendam vs AZ Alkmaar Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Volendam
0W-1D-5L
AWAY AZ Alkmaar
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
0.85 xG 2.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
312 Passes 390
77% Pass Accuracy 79%
19 Box Touches 33
18 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
26.11.2023 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 3-0 HT 1-0 Volendam Volendam HOL
04.02.2023 Volendam Volendam 1-1 HT 0-0 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar HOL
30.10.2022 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 2-1 HT 2-0 Volendam Volendam HOL
18.01.2009 Volendam Volendam 0-2 HT 0-1 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar HOL
25.10.2008 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 3-0 HT 1-0 Volendam Volendam HOL
07.02.2004 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 3-0 HT 2-0 Volendam Volendam HOL

Volendam 0-4 AZ Alkmaar — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Volendam
0-4
AWAY AZ Alkmaar
0.70 xG 2.56
39% Ball Possession 61%
6 Total Shots 20
2 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 4
259 Passes 472
75% Pass Accuracy 84%
21 Box Touches 46
15 Crosses 13
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Volendam vs AZ Alkmaar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AZ Alkmaar ran out comfortable winners over Volendam 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had AZ Alkmaar as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

On the day, Volendam had 39% of the ball to AZ Alkmaar's 61%, shots finished 6-20, expected goals 0.70 to 2.56.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, AZ Alkmaar led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Volendam and 2.33 for AZ Alkmaar.

What was the final score of Volendam vs AZ Alkmaar?

Volendam 0-4 AZ Alkmaar in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Volendam vs AZ Alkmaar?

Before kick-off our model rated an AZ Alkmaar win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Volendam 21%, draw 22%, AZ Alkmaar 57%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AZ Alkmaar), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (AZ Alkmaar) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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