Tadamon Sour 1-0 Al Ahed — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lebanon - Premier League, 24 Apr 2025

Tadamon Sour
1-0 HT 0-0
Al Ahed
📅24/04/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-2 ✗
Lebanon - Premier League – 2024/2025

Tadamon Sour vs Al Ahed Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
12%
9.57
Draw
23%
4.62
Away
65%
1.3
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.74
Over 2.5
45%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.75
No
55%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
2%
X/2
22%
X/X
10%
2/1
2%
2/2
35%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
12%
Home Win
8%
+4.2pp
23%
Draw
19%
+3.9pp
65%
Away Win
73%
-8.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
54%
+1.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
46%
-1.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
32%
+12.9pp
55%
BTTS No
68%
-12.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Tadamon Sour v Al Ahed — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tadamon Sour EU Bookmakers 10%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ahed EU Bookmakers 77%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
0.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 4.04/0.82
-100% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -68%
43% Ball Possession 57%
6 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
262 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 446 · 84%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Tadamon Sour vs Al Ahed Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tadamon Sour
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Al Ahed
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
The Meetings
13.02.2025 Al Ahed Al Ahed 4-0 HT 2-0 Tadamon Sour Tadamon Sour LUBN
POST-MATCH Tadamon Sour vs Al Ahed
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tadamon Sour squeezed past Al Ahed 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

This one beat our numbers. Al Ahed carried 65% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Tadamon Sour vs Al Ahed?

Tadamon Sour 1-0 Al Ahed in the Lebanon - Premier League on 24/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tadamon Sour vs Al Ahed?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Ahed win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Tadamon Sour 12%, draw 23%, Al Ahed 65%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Al Ahed) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Ahed) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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LUBN More Lebanon - Premier League
24 Apr 2025
15:00 Al Hikma vs Safa Analysis →