Follo vs Moss Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Follo v Moss — Team-Based Signals
Follo vs Moss Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 1-2
Follo
NOR1
0-4
HT 0-2
Moss
NOR1
1-3
HT 0-3
Moss
NOR1
4-2
HT 1-1
Follo
NOR1
2-1
HT 0-0
Moss
NOR1
Moss nicked a narrow win over Follo 3-2 away from home. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Moss as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Follo and 2.17 for Moss.
What was the final score of Follo vs Moss?
Follo 2-3 Moss in the Norway - NM Cup on 24/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Follo vs Moss?
Before kick-off our model rated an Moss win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Follo 32%, draw 25%, Moss 43%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Moss), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.