Mjondalen vs Stromsgodset Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Mjondalen v Stromsgodset — Team-Based Signals
Mjondalen vs Stromsgodset Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 0-1
Mjondalen
NOR
1-1
HT 0-0
Stromsgodset
NOR
3-0
HT 1-0
Stromsgodset
NOR
2-1
HT 0-0
Mjondalen
NOR
1-1
HT 0-0
Stromsgodset
NOR
Mjondalen 1-1 Stromsgodset — Actual Match Statistics
Mjondalen and Stromsgodset couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Stromsgodset at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Mjondalen had 37% of the ball to Stromsgodset's 63%, shots finished 9-26.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mjondalen had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Mjondalen and 1.00 for Stromsgodset.
What was the final score of Mjondalen vs Stromsgodset?
Mjondalen 1-1 Stromsgodset in the Norway - NM Cup on 24/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Mjondalen vs Stromsgodset?
Before kick-off our model rated an Stromsgodset win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Mjondalen 20%, draw 26%, Stromsgodset 55%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.