Mjondalen 2-1 Stromsgodset — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 16 Feb 2024

📅16/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
4.13
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
40%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under
49%
2.23
Over Pick
51%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.66
No
51%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1
27%
2-3
39%
4-5
23%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
11%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 51%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
21%
+14.4pp
25%
Draw
22%
+2.7pp
40%
Away Win
57%
-17.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+8.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-8.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.0pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mjondalen EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Stromsgodset EU Bookmakers 62%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
248 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 425 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mjondalen
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Stromsgodset
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.23 xG 1.79
42% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
213 Passes 343
66% Pass Accuracy 76%
19 Box Touches 28
12 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.11.2021 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset 1-2 HT 0-1 Mjondalen Mjondalen NOR
20.06.2021 Mjondalen Mjondalen 1-1 HT 0-0 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset NOR
07.11.2020 Mjondalen Mjondalen 3-0 HT 1-0 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset NOR
15.07.2020 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset 2-1 HT 0-0 Mjondalen Mjondalen NOR
04.10.2019 Mjondalen Mjondalen 1-1 HT 0-0 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset NOR
12.04.2019 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset 2-3 HT 1-3 Mjondalen Mjondalen NOR
POST-MATCH Mjondalen vs Stromsgodset
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mjondalen edged past Stromsgodset 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (35% / 25% / 40%) promised a tight game; Mjondalen found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mjondalen had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Mjondalen and 1.17 for Stromsgodset.

What was the final score of Mjondalen vs Stromsgodset?

Mjondalen 2-1 Stromsgodset in the Friendlies on 16/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mjondalen vs Stromsgodset?

Before kick-off our model rated an Stromsgodset win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Mjondalen 35%, draw 25%, Stromsgodset 40%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Stromsgodset), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Stromsgodset) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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