Jedinstvo Ub 4-1 Cukaricki Stankom — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 24 Apr 2025

📅24/04/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
5.34
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
57%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.91
Over 2.5
54%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.96
No
51%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
19%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
30%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
16%
+4.3pp
23%
Draw
22%
+1.1pp
56%
Away Win
62%
-5.3pp
46%
Under 2.5
48%
-2.0pp
54%
Over 2.5
52%
+2.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.5pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jedinstvo Ub EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Cukaricki Stankom EU Bookmakers 66%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -2%
1.22/1.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.68/0.78
-18% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +14%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
285 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 73%
19.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.2
15.6 Crosses 19.5
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jedinstvo Ub
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Cukaricki Stankom
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.60 xG 2.25
43% Ball Possession 57%
7 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
264 Passes 414
72% Pass Accuracy 82%
10 Box Touches 44
14 Crosses 28
3 Yellow Cards 1
23.02.2025 Jedinstvo Ub Jedinstvo Ub 0-1 HT 0-1 Cukaricki Stankom Cukaricki Stankom SIRP
30.10.2024 Jedinstvo Ub Jedinstvo Ub 0-1 HT 0-0 Cukaricki Stankom Cukaricki Stankom SIRBK
21.09.2024 Cukaricki Stankom Cukaricki Stankom 2-1 HT 0-1 Jedinstvo Ub Jedinstvo Ub SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jedinstvo Ub
4-1
AWAY Cukaricki Stankom
2.96 xG 1.14
42% Ball Possession 58%
18 Total Shots 13
9 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 7
205 Passes 284
72% Pass Accuracy 75%
24 Box Touches 23
13 Crosses 38
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Jedinstvo Ub vs Cukaricki Stankom
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jedinstvo Ub ran out comfortable winners over Cukaricki Stankom 4-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Cukaricki Stankom at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Jedinstvo Ub had 42% of the ball to Cukaricki Stankom's 58%, shots finished 18-13, expected goals 2.96 to 1.14.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Cukaricki Stankom led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Jedinstvo Ub and 1.33 for Cukaricki Stankom.

What was the final score of Jedinstvo Ub vs Cukaricki Stankom?

Jedinstvo Ub 4-1 Cukaricki Stankom in the Serbia - Super League on 24/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jedinstvo Ub vs Cukaricki Stankom?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cukaricki Stankom win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Jedinstvo Ub 20%, draw 23%, Cukaricki Stankom 56%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Cukaricki Stankom), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cukaricki Stankom) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
SIRP More Serbia - Super League
24 Apr 2025
18:00 Spartak Subotica vs Napredak Krusevac Analysis →