Spartak Subotica 2-1 Napredak Krusevac — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 24 Apr 2025

📅24/04/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.19
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
30%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.52
Over 2.5
38%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.13
No
59%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
+0.2pp
29%
Draw
30%
-1.8pp
30%
Away Win
28%
+1.6pp
62%
Under 2.5
62%
-0.4pp
38%
Over 2.5
38%
+0.4pp
41%
BTTS Yes
43%
-1.5pp
59%
BTTS No
57%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spartak Subotica EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Napredak Krusevac EU Bookmakers 32%
-1% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +23%
1.19/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.04
+2% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -2%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
267 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 72%
17.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.3
19.2 Crosses 18.7
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Spartak Subotica
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Napredak Krusevac
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.90 xG 1.20
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
332 Passes 222
76% Pass Accuracy 67%
25 Box Touches 18
22 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
22.12.2024 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica 0-2 HT 0-0 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac SIRP
17.08.2024 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac 2-0 HT 1-0 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica SIRP
12.02.2024 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac 1-1 HT 1-1 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica SIRP
27.08.2023 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica 1-3 HT 0-2 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac SIRP
22.04.2023 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac 1-0 HT 1-0 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica SIRP
15.03.2023 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica 0-1 HT 0-1 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac SIRBK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Spartak Subotica
2-1
AWAY Napredak Krusevac
0.59 xG 0.71
55% Ball Possession 45%
6 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
295 Passes 213
74% Pass Accuracy 69%
15 Box Touches 16
6 Crosses 28
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Spartak Subotica vs Napredak Krusevac
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Spartak Subotica squeezed past Napredak Krusevac 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Spartak Subotica as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Spartak Subotica had 55% of the ball to Napredak Krusevac's 45%, shots finished 6-13, expected goals 0.59 to 0.71.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Napredak Krusevac led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Spartak Subotica and 1.67 for Napredak Krusevac.

What was the final score of Spartak Subotica vs Napredak Krusevac?

Spartak Subotica 2-1 Napredak Krusevac in the Serbia - Super League on 24/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spartak Subotica vs Napredak Krusevac?

Before kick-off our model rated a Spartak Subotica win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Spartak Subotica 42%, draw 29%, Napredak Krusevac 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Spartak Subotica) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Spartak Subotica) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
SIRP More Serbia - Super League
24 Apr 2025
19:00 Jedinstvo Ub vs Cukaricki Stankom Analysis →