Spartak Subotica 0-2 Napredak Krusevac — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 22 Dec 2024

📅22/12/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.12
Draw
25%
3.04
Away
30%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.52
Over 2.5
39%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.09
No
60%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
43%
+1.7pp
25%
Draw
29%
-4.0pp
30%
Away Win
27%
+2.2pp
61%
Under 2.5
62%
-0.7pp
39%
Over 2.5
38%
+0.7pp
40%
BTTS Yes
44%
-3.9pp
60%
BTTS No
56%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spartak Subotica EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Napredak Krusevac EU Bookmakers 31%
+6% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +23%
1.42/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/1.13
+15% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +3%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
289 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 73%
17.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
18.5 Crosses 17.8
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Spartak Subotica
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Napredak Krusevac
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.12 xG 1.15
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
333 Passes 232
75% Pass Accuracy 68%
30 Box Touches 20
20 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.08.2024 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac 2-0 HT 1-0 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica SIRP
12.02.2024 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac 1-1 HT 1-1 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica SIRP
27.08.2023 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica 1-3 HT 0-2 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac SIRP
22.04.2023 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac 1-0 HT 1-0 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica SIRP
15.03.2023 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica 0-1 HT 0-1 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac SIRBK
05.03.2023 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac 1-1 HT 1-0 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Spartak Subotica
0-2
AWAY Napredak Krusevac
0.51 xG 1.24
53% Ball Possession 47%
7 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 1
282 Passes 238
75% Pass Accuracy 69%
10 Box Touches 13
19 Crosses 11
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Spartak Subotica vs Napredak Krusevac
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Napredak Krusevac beat Spartak Subotica 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Spartak Subotica at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

On the day, Spartak Subotica had 53% of the ball to Napredak Krusevac's 47%, shots finished 7-9, expected goals 0.51 to 1.24.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Napredak Krusevac led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Spartak Subotica and 1.50 for Napredak Krusevac.

What was the final score of Spartak Subotica vs Napredak Krusevac?

Spartak Subotica 0-2 Napredak Krusevac in the Serbia - Super League on 22/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spartak Subotica vs Napredak Krusevac?

Before kick-off our model rated a Spartak Subotica win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Spartak Subotica 45%, draw 25%, Napredak Krusevac 30%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Spartak Subotica) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Spartak Subotica) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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