Napredak Krusevac 2-0 Spartak Subotica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 17 Aug 2024

📅17/08/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.57
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
40%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.54
Over 2.5
36%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
1.99
No
62%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
15%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
35%
-3.7pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.5pp
40%
Away Win
36%
+4.2pp
64%
Under 2.5
61%
+3.3pp
36%
Over 2.5
39%
-3.3pp
38%
BTTS Yes
46%
-8.1pp
62%
BTTS No
54%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Napredak Krusevac EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Spartak Subotica EU Bookmakers 40%
-6% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -9%
1.42/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/0.81
+15% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +5%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
263 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 77%
20.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.2
21.6 Crosses 24.1
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Napredak Krusevac
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Spartak Subotica
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.28 xG 1.20
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
227 Passes 329
67% Pass Accuracy 74%
22 Box Touches 30
22 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.02.2024 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac 1-1 HT 1-1 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica SIRP
27.08.2023 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica 1-3 HT 0-2 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac SIRP
22.04.2023 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac 1-0 HT 1-0 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica SIRP
15.03.2023 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica 0-1 HT 0-1 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac SIRBK
05.03.2023 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac 1-1 HT 1-0 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica SIRP
03.09.2022 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica 1-2 HT 0-1 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Napredak Krusevac
2-0
AWAY Spartak Subotica
0.92 xG 1.02
41% Ball Possession 59%
5 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 7
218 Passes 347
72% Pass Accuracy 82%
17 Box Touches 31
7 Crosses 29
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Napredak Krusevac vs Spartak Subotica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Napredak Krusevac beat Spartak Subotica 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 29% / 40% — and on the day Napredak Krusevac made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (62%) came in.

On the day, Napredak Krusevac had 41% of the ball to Spartak Subotica's 59%, shots finished 5-18, expected goals 0.92 to 1.02.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Napredak Krusevac had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Napredak Krusevac and 0.67 for Spartak Subotica.

What was the final score of Napredak Krusevac vs Spartak Subotica?

Napredak Krusevac 2-0 Spartak Subotica in the Serbia - Super League on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Napredak Krusevac vs Spartak Subotica?

Before kick-off our model rated an Spartak Subotica win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Napredak Krusevac 31%, draw 29%, Spartak Subotica 40%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Spartak Subotica) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Spartak Subotica) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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