Novi Pazar 0-1 Mladost Lucani — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 17 Aug 2024

Novi Pazar
0-1 HT 0-1
Mladost Lucani
📅17/08/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Serbia - Super League – 2024/2025

Novi Pazar vs Mladost Lucani Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.8
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
25%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.78
Over 2.5
46%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.85
No
55%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
52%
-1.7pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.4pp
25%
Away Win
23%
+2.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
50%
-5.1pp
55%
BTTS No
50%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Novi Pazar v Mladost Lucani — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Novi Pazar EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Mladost Lucani EU Bookmakers 26%
-6% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +18%
1.27/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.45
-30% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +19%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
322 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 70%
22.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.2
20.3 Crosses 16.2
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.8

Novi Pazar vs Mladost Lucani Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Novi Pazar
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Mladost Lucani
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.25 xG 1.28
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
284 Passes 257
74% Pass Accuracy 71%
18 Box Touches 18
27 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
03.03.2024 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar 0-0 HT 0-0 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani SIRP
23.09.2023 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani 2-0 HT 2-0 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar SIRP
31.03.2023 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani 1-3 HT 1-1 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar SIRP
30.09.2022 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar 3-1 HT 1-1 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani SIRP
14.03.2022 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar 0-0 HT 0-0 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani SIRP
03.10.2021 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani 3-0 HT 1-0 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar SIRP

Novi Pazar 0-1 Mladost Lucani — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Novi Pazar
0-1
AWAY Mladost Lucani
59% Ball Possession 41%
9 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 1
POST-MATCH Novi Pazar vs Mladost Lucani
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mladost Lucani edged past Novi Pazar 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Novi Pazar at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Novi Pazar had 59% of the ball to Mladost Lucani's 41%, shots finished 9-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Novi Pazar and 1.17 for Mladost Lucani.

What was the final score of Novi Pazar vs Mladost Lucani?

Novi Pazar 0-1 Mladost Lucani in the Serbia - Super League on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Novi Pazar vs Mladost Lucani?

Before kick-off our model rated a Novi Pazar win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Novi Pazar 50%, draw 25%, Mladost Lucani 25%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Novi Pazar) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Novi Pazar) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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