New Mexico United vs Monterey Bay Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
New Mexico United v Monterey Bay — Team-Based Signals
New Mexico United vs Monterey Bay Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
New Mexico United
USLP
2-1
HT 1-0
Monterey Bay
USLP
4-2
HT 2-1
New Mexico United
USLP
2-0
HT 2-0
Monterey Bay
USLP
1-1
HT 1-1
New Mexico United
USLP
New Mexico United 1-0 Monterey Bay — Actual Match Statistics
New Mexico United edged past Monterey Bay 1-0 in the USL Championship on 24 Apr 2025.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams scoring was against the odds at 38%.
On the day, New Mexico United had 56% of the ball to Monterey Bay's 44%, shots finished 11-6, expected goals 0.97 to 0.35.
Across their last 6 meetings in our records, New Mexico United have the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for New Mexico United and 1.50 for Monterey Bay.
What was the final score of New Mexico United vs Monterey Bay?
New Mexico United 1-0 Monterey Bay in the USL Championship on 24/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for New Mexico United vs Monterey Bay?
Before kick-off our model rated a New Mexico United win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split New Mexico United 50%, draw 23%, Monterey Bay 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (New Mexico United), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.