Arenas de Getxo 2-0 Merida AD — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 24 Apr 2026

Arenas de Getxo
2-0 HT 0-0
Merida AD
📅24/04/2026 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Spain - 2nd Division B – 2025/2026

Arenas de Getxo vs Merida AD Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.57
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
39%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.68
Over 2.5
48%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.85
No
48%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.59
2-3 Goals
42%
1.7
4-5 Goals
20%
4.01
6+ Goals
9%
19.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
35%
+0.5pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.8pp
39%
Away Win
37%
+2.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
50%
+2.5pp
48%
BTTS No
50%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Arenas de Getxo v Merida AD — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arenas de Getxo EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Merida AD EU Bookmakers 40%
+15% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -13%
1.62/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.31
+36% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -18%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
178 · 59% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 72%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.2

Arenas de Getxo vs Merida AD Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arenas de Getxo
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Merida AD
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
5 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
05.10.2025 Merida AD Merida AD 3-0 HT 3-0 Arenas de Getxo Arenas de Getxo İS3

Arenas de Getxo 2-0 Merida AD — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arenas de Getxo
2-0
AWAY Merida AD
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 7
10 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Arenas de Getxo vs Merida AD
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arenas de Getxo saw off Merida AD 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 25% / 39%) promised a tight game; Arenas de Getxo found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Arenas de Getxo had 54% of the ball to Merida AD's 46%, shots finished 16-12.

What was the final score of Arenas de Getxo vs Merida AD?

Arenas de Getxo 2-0 Merida AD in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 24/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arenas de Getxo vs Merida AD?

Before kick-off our model rated an Merida AD win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Arenas de Getxo 36%, draw 25%, Merida AD 39%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Merida AD), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Merida AD) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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