Al Nasr 3-2 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - League, 24 Apr 2026

📅24/04/2026 · 🕒19:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.75
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
51%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.07
Over 2.5
54%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.66
No
48%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.74
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
2.95
6+ Goals
11%
9.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
11%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
16%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
24%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
23%
+3.8pp
22%
Draw
24%
-2.5pp
51%
Away Win
52%
-1.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
44%
+2.0pp
54%
Over 2.5
56%
-2.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.9pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Nasr EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Jazira Abu Dhabi EU Bookmakers 56%
-5% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -23%
1.10/1.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.23/1.10
+1% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +2%
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
261 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 398 · 82%
19.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 31.0
15.8 Crosses 18.1
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Nasr
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Al Jazira Abu Dhabi
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.16 xG 1.96
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
330 Passes 364
83% Pass Accuracy 83%
21 Box Touches 26
16 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.09.2025 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi Al Jazira Abu Dhabi 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Nasr Al Nasr BAE
23.02.2025 Al Nasr Al Nasr 2-3 HT 0-2 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi Al Jazira Abu Dhabi BAE
28.09.2024 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi Al Jazira Abu Dhabi 3-1 HT 3-1 Al Nasr Al Nasr BAE
24.02.2024 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi Al Jazira Abu Dhabi 2-3 HT 1-1 Al Nasr Al Nasr BAE
19.08.2023 Al Nasr Al Nasr 1-3 HT 0-1 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi Al Jazira Abu Dhabi BAE
07.04.2023 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi Al Jazira Abu Dhabi 4-3 HT 1-0 Al Nasr Al Nasr BAE
POST-MATCH Al Nasr vs Al Jazira Abu Dhabi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Nasr squeezed past Al Jazira Abu Dhabi 3-2. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Al Jazira Abu Dhabi at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Jazira Abu Dhabi led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Al Nasr and 2.50 for Al Jazira Abu Dhabi.

What was the final score of Al Nasr vs Al Jazira Abu Dhabi?

Al Nasr 3-2 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi in the UAE - League on 24/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Nasr vs Al Jazira Abu Dhabi?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Jazira Abu Dhabi win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Al Nasr 27%, draw 22%, Al Jazira Abu Dhabi 51%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Jazira Abu Dhabi) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Jazira Abu Dhabi) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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