Al Dhafra 0-1 Ajman — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - League, 24 Apr 2026

📅24/04/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
38%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.0
Over 2.5
51%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.63
No
43%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
12%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
33%
+0.5pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.6pp
38%
Away Win
41%
-2.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
46%
+2.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
54%
-2.5pp
57%
BTTS Yes
57%
-0.1pp
43%
BTTS No
43%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Dhafra EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Ajman EU Bookmakers 45%
+12% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +10%
1.31/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/0.92
+54% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +20%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
295 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 79%
18.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.7
17.5 Crosses 18.1
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Dhafra
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Ajman
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.69 xG 1.75
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
277 Passes 423
77% Pass Accuracy 84%
10 Box Touches 26
14 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 1
19.01.2026 Ajman Ajman 1-1 HT 0-0 Al Dhafra Al Dhafra BAE
19.12.2022 Al Dhafra Al Dhafra 0-1 HT 0-0 Ajman Ajman BAE
26.11.2022 Al Dhafra Al Dhafra 2-0 HT 0-0 Ajman Ajman BAELK
12.10.2022 Ajman Ajman 3-1 HT 1-0 Al Dhafra Al Dhafra BAELK
04.04.2022 Al Dhafra Al Dhafra 3-0 HT 1-0 Ajman Ajman BAE
22.10.2021 Ajman Ajman 1-3 HT 1-3 Al Dhafra Al Dhafra BAE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Dhafra
0-1
AWAY Ajman
0.86 xG 0.34
52% Ball Possession 48%
5 Total Shots 7
1 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 3
237 Passes 217
78% Pass Accuracy 75%
11 Box Touches 10
16 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Dhafra vs Ajman
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ajman nicked a narrow win over Al Dhafra 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (34% / 28% / 38%) promised a tight game; Ajman found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al Dhafra had 52% of the ball to Ajman's 48%, shots finished 5-7, expected goals 0.86 to 0.34 — on chances, Al Dhafra could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Dhafra had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Al Dhafra and 1.00 for Ajman.

What was the final score of Al Dhafra vs Ajman?

Al Dhafra 0-1 Ajman in the UAE - League on 24/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Dhafra vs Ajman?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ajman win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Al Dhafra 34%, draw 28%, Ajman 38%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ajman) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ajman) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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