Torns 3-2 AFC Malmö — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 24 May 2024

📅24/05/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.46
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
46%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.07
Over 2.5
54%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.63
No
51%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
13%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
15%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
26%
+4.2pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.7pp
46%
Away Win
50%
-3.5pp
46%
Under 2.5
44%
+2.0pp
54%
Over 2.5
56%
-2.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
57%
-7.8pp
51%
BTTS No
43%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Torns EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY AFC Malmö EU Bookmakers 54%
+4% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -37% / -37%
1.32/1.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.62/1.98
+6% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -38%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
324 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 387 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Torns
0W-1D-1L
AWAY AFC Malmö
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 15
1 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
25.08.2023 AFC Malmö 3-0 HT 1-0 Torns Torns İSÇ3
09.06.2023 Torns Torns 0-0 HT 0-0 AFC Malmö İSÇ3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Torns
3-2
AWAY AFC Malmö
40% Ball Possession 60%
7 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Torns vs AFC Malmö
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Torns nicked a narrow win over AFC Malmö 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was AFC Malmö at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Torns had 40% of the ball to AFC Malmö's 60%, shots finished 7-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, AFC Malmö led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Torns and 1.50 for AFC Malmö.

What was the final score of Torns vs AFC Malmö?

Torns 3-2 AFC Malmö in the Sweden - 1st Division on 24/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Torns vs AFC Malmö?

Before kick-off our model rated an AFC Malmö win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Torns 30%, draw 24%, AFC Malmö 46%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (AFC Malmö), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (AFC Malmö) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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