Tvaaker 0-2 Ljungskile — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 24 May 2024

📅24/05/2024 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.66
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
33%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.9
Over 2.5
47%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.82
No
55%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
56%
-10.9pp
22%
Draw
23%
-1.0pp
33%
Away Win
21%
+11.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
49%
+4.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
51%
-4.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.6pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tvaaker EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Ljungskile EU Bookmakers 24%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.79/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.78
-10% / +68% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +1%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
381 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tvaaker
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Ljungskile
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
11.11.2023 Ljungskile Ljungskile 2-0 HT 1-0 Tvaaker Tvaaker İSÇ3
21.05.2023 Tvaaker Tvaaker 2-1 HT 2-0 Ljungskile Ljungskile İSÇ3
10.09.2022 Ljungskile Ljungskile 1-0 HT 0-0 Tvaaker Tvaaker İSÇ3
25.05.2022 Tvaaker Tvaaker 0-0 HT 0-0 Ljungskile Ljungskile İSÇ3
12.11.2021 Tvaaker Tvaaker 4-1 HT 1-1 Ljungskile Ljungskile İSÇ3
23.06.2021 Ljungskile Ljungskile 2-3 HT 0-1 Tvaaker Tvaaker İSÇ3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tvaaker
0-2
AWAY Ljungskile
59% Ball Possession 41%
21 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Tvaaker vs Ljungskile
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ljungskile beat Tvaaker 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Tvaaker at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Tvaaker had 59% of the ball to Ljungskile's 41%, shots finished 21-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tvaaker had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Tvaaker and 1.17 for Ljungskile.

What was the final score of Tvaaker vs Ljungskile?

Tvaaker 0-2 Ljungskile in the Sweden - 1st Division on 24/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tvaaker vs Ljungskile?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tvaaker win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Tvaaker 45%, draw 22%, Ljungskile 33%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Tvaaker) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tvaaker) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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