Genoa vs Bologna Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Genoa v Bologna — Team-Based Signals
Genoa vs Bologna Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-0
Bologna
İTA
2-2
HT 0-0
Genoa
İTA
0-2
HT 0-1
Genoa
İTA
2-0
HT 1-0
Bologna
İTA
0-3
HT 0-2
Genoa
İTA
Genoa 2-0 Bologna — Actual Match Statistics
Genoa got the better of Bologna 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
Our pre-match lean was Bologna at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Genoa had 27% of the ball to Bologna's 73%, shots finished 15-11, expected goals 1.52 to 0.99.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Genoa had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Genoa and 0.67 for Bologna.
What was the final score of Genoa vs Bologna?
Genoa 2-0 Bologna in the Italy - Serie A on 24/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Genoa vs Bologna?
Before kick-off our model rated an Bologna win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Genoa 31%, draw 28%, Bologna 41%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Bologna) went the other way.