Dinamo Brest 0-1 Torpedo Zhodino — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Premier League, 24 May 2024

📅24/05/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.47
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
35%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.86
Over 2.5
49%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.7
No
49%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.32
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.56
6+ Goals
12%
14.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.32 — our 28% vs market 24.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
11%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+1.1pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.1pp
35%
Away Win
36%
-1.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
50%
+1.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
50%
-1.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
55%
-3.4pp
49%
BTTS No
45%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dinamo Brest EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Torpedo Zhodino EU Bookmakers 40%
-1% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +10%
1.68/1.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/0.82
+30% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +55%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
331 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dinamo Brest
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Torpedo Zhodino
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
06.08.2023 Torpedo Zhodino Torpedo Zhodino 1-2 HT 0-2 Dinamo Brest Dinamo Brest BLR
18.03.2023 Dinamo Brest Dinamo Brest 0-1 HT 0-0 Torpedo Zhodino Torpedo Zhodino BLR
06.11.2022 Torpedo Zhodino Torpedo Zhodino 0-0 HT 0-0 Dinamo Brest Dinamo Brest BLR
10.07.2022 Dinamo Brest Dinamo Brest 0-1 HT 0-1 Torpedo Zhodino Torpedo Zhodino BLR
22.08.2021 Dinamo Brest Dinamo Brest 3-2 HT 0-2 Torpedo Zhodino Torpedo Zhodino BLR
17.04.2021 Torpedo Zhodino Torpedo Zhodino 0-2 HT 0-1 Dinamo Brest Dinamo Brest BLR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dinamo Brest
0-1
AWAY Torpedo Zhodino
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Dinamo Brest vs Torpedo Zhodino
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Torpedo Zhodino nicked a narrow win over Dinamo Brest 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 27% / 35%) promised a tight game; Torpedo Zhodino found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Dinamo Brest had 57% of the ball to Torpedo Zhodino's 43%, shots finished 16-15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dinamo Brest had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Dinamo Brest and 0.83 for Torpedo Zhodino.

What was the final score of Dinamo Brest vs Torpedo Zhodino?

Dinamo Brest 0-1 Torpedo Zhodino in the Belarus - Premier League on 24/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dinamo Brest vs Torpedo Zhodino?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dinamo Brest win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Dinamo Brest 38%, draw 27%, Torpedo Zhodino 35%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Dinamo Brest), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dinamo Brest) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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24 May 2024
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