Al Salmiyah 5-3 Al Nasar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kuwait - Premier League, 24 May 2024

📅24/05/2024 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.0
Draw
32%
3.64
Away
34%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.59
Over 2.5
52%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.43
No
44%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
5.75
2-3 Goals
42%
2.04
4-5 Goals
28%
2.62
6+ Goals
9%
6.06
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
12%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
46%
-12.7pp
32%
Draw
24%
+8.0pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+4.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
35%
+13.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
65%
-13.4pp
56%
BTTS Yes
66%
-9.9pp
44%
BTTS No
34%
+9.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Salmiyah EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Nasar EU Bookmakers 33%
+23% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.92/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/1.30
+47% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +3%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
370 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Salmiyah
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Al Nasar
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
61% Ball Possession 39%
22 Total Shots 8
12 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 4
28.04.2024 Al Nasar Al Nasar 1-2 HT 1-1 Al Salmiyah Al Salmiyah KUV
25.12.2023 Al Nasar Al Nasar 1-1 HT 1-0 Al Salmiyah Al Salmiyah KUV
30.08.2023 Al Salmiyah Al Salmiyah 3-2 HT 0-1 Al Nasar Al Nasar KUV
26.02.2023 Al Nasar Al Nasar 0-3 HT 0-2 Al Salmiyah Al Salmiyah KUV
14.10.2022 Al Salmiyah Al Salmiyah 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Nasar Al Nasar KUV
10.02.2022 Al Salmiyah Al Salmiyah 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Nasar Al Nasar KUV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Salmiyah
5-3
AWAY Al Nasar
48% Ball Possession 52%
17 Total Shots 14
9 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 2
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Salmiyah vs Al Nasar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Salmiyah beat Al Nasar 5-3. Half-time: 2-1. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (33% / 32% / 34%) promised a tight game; Al Salmiyah found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Al Salmiyah had 48% of the ball to Al Nasar's 52%, shots finished 17-14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Salmiyah had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Al Salmiyah and 0.67 for Al Nasar.

What was the final score of Al Salmiyah vs Al Nasar?

Al Salmiyah 5-3 Al Nasar in the Kuwait - Premier League on 24/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Salmiyah vs Al Nasar?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Nasar win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Al Salmiyah 33%, draw 32%, Al Nasar 34%. The final score 5-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Nasar) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Nasar) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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