Spartak Subotica 1-1 IMT Novi Beograd — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 24 May 2024

📅24/05/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.32
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
35%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.64
Over 2.5
40%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.95
No
53%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
6%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
12%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
27%
+7.8pp
31%
Draw
28%
+2.7pp
35%
Away Win
45%
-10.5pp
60%
Under 2.5
57%
+2.7pp
40%
Over 2.5
43%
-2.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.0pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
+0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spartak Subotica EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY IMT Novi Beograd EU Bookmakers 49%
-6% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +40% / +40%
1.05/1.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/1.38
+4% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / +2%
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
264 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 77%
18.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
13.7 Crosses 15.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Spartak Subotica
2W-0D-0L
AWAY IMT Novi Beograd
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.41 xG 1.50
43% Ball Possession 57%
7 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 8
238 Passes 342
72% Pass Accuracy 78%
12 Box Touches 30
19 Crosses 34
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.11.2023 IMT Novi Beograd IMT Novi Beograd 0-1 HT 0-0 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica SIRP
29.07.2023 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica 2-1 HT 1-1 IMT Novi Beograd IMT Novi Beograd SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Spartak Subotica
1-1
AWAY IMT Novi Beograd
0.51 xG 0.98
60% Ball Possession 40%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
479 Passes 281
87% Pass Accuracy 77%
24 Box Touches 20
22 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Spartak Subotica vs IMT Novi Beograd
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Spartak Subotica and IMT Novi Beograd couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (34% / 31% / 35%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Spartak Subotica had 60% of the ball to IMT Novi Beograd's 40%, shots finished 9-10, expected goals 0.51 to 0.98.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Spartak Subotica had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Spartak Subotica and 0.50 for IMT Novi Beograd.

What was the final score of Spartak Subotica vs IMT Novi Beograd?

Spartak Subotica 1-1 IMT Novi Beograd in the Serbia - Super League on 24/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spartak Subotica vs IMT Novi Beograd?

Before kick-off our model rated an IMT Novi Beograd win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Spartak Subotica 34%, draw 31%, IMT Novi Beograd 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (IMT Novi Beograd), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (IMT Novi Beograd) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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