Novi Pazar 2-1 Radnicki Nis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 24 May 2024

📅24/05/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.47
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
33%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.91
Over 2.5
38%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.63
No
57%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
37%
-0.8pp
31%
Draw
30%
+1.7pp
33%
Away Win
34%
-0.9pp
62%
Under 2.5
48%
+13.7pp
38%
Over 2.5
52%
-13.7pp
43%
BTTS Yes
57%
-14.1pp
57%
BTTS No
43%
+14.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Novi Pazar EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Radnicki Nis EU Bookmakers 37%
+19% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +10%
1.37/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.18
+25% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / +35%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
246 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 76%
26.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.4
19.5 Crosses 18.2
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Novi Pazar
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Radnicki Nis
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.56 xG 1.51
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
278 Passes 324
72% Pass Accuracy 77%
28 Box Touches 24
16 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
15.04.2024 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar 2-2 HT 1-1 Radnicki Nis Radnicki Nis SIRP
10.11.2023 Radnicki Nis Radnicki Nis 0-1 HT 0-0 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar SIRP
12.02.2023 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar 0-0 HT 0-0 Radnicki Nis Radnicki Nis SIRP
12.08.2022 Radnicki Nis Radnicki Nis 1-3 HT 0-1 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar SIRP
25.02.2022 Radnicki Nis Radnicki Nis 1-1 HT 1-0 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar SIRP
17.09.2021 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar 2-1 HT 1-1 Radnicki Nis Radnicki Nis SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Novi Pazar
2-1
AWAY Radnicki Nis
0.35 xG 1.97
65% Ball Possession 35%
7 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 3
580 Passes 261
89% Pass Accuracy 79%
20 Box Touches 39
10 Crosses 22
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Novi Pazar vs Radnicki Nis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Novi Pazar nicked a narrow win over Radnicki Nis 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 31% / 33% — and on the day Novi Pazar made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Novi Pazar had 65% of the ball to Radnicki Nis's 35%, shots finished 7-19, expected goals 0.35 to 1.97 — the balance of chances actually favoured Radnicki Nis.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Novi Pazar had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Novi Pazar and 0.83 for Radnicki Nis.

What was the final score of Novi Pazar vs Radnicki Nis?

Novi Pazar 2-1 Radnicki Nis in the Serbia - Super League on 24/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Novi Pazar vs Radnicki Nis?

Before kick-off our model rated a Novi Pazar win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Novi Pazar 36%, draw 31%, Radnicki Nis 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Novi Pazar) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Novi Pazar) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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