Alanyaspor 1-1 Antalyaspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 24 May 2024

Alanyaspor
1-1 HT 1-0
Antalyaspor
📅24/05/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Turkey - Super League – 2023/2024

Alanyaspor vs Antalyaspor Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.72
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
26%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.89
Over 2.5
57%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.41
No
49%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
20%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
54%
-3.4pp
23%
Draw
22%
+0.7pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+2.8pp
43%
Under 2.5
31%
+12.0pp
57%
Over 2.5
69%
-12.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
67%
-15.5pp
49%
BTTS No
33%
+15.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Alanyaspor v Antalyaspor — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alanyaspor EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Antalyaspor EU Bookmakers 27%
+3% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -12%
1.72/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.52
+8% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +5%
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
381 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 80%
25.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.5
23.3 Crosses 17.6
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.1

Alanyaspor vs Antalyaspor Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alanyaspor
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Antalyaspor
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.34 xG 1.65
57% Ball Possession 43%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
449 Passes 322
85% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Box Touches 18
17 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
05.01.2024 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor 0-0 HT 0-0 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor TSL
14.04.2023 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor 3-1 HT 2-1 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor TSL
14.10.2022 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 3-2 HT 1-0 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor TSL
16.04.2022 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 1-3 HT 0-2 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor TSL
27.11.2021 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor 3-0 HT 1-0 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor TSL
17.03.2021 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor 2-0 HT 1-0 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor TÜK

Alanyaspor 1-1 Antalyaspor — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alanyaspor
1-1
AWAY Antalyaspor
2.21 xG 0.34
62% Ball Possession 38%
14 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 2
601 Passes 354
90% Pass Accuracy 85%
25 Box Touches 12
19 Crosses 9
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Alanyaspor vs Antalyaspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alanyaspor and Antalyaspor couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Alanyaspor at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Alanyaspor had 62% of the ball to Antalyaspor's 38%, shots finished 14-7, expected goals 2.21 to 0.34.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Antalyaspor led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Alanyaspor and 2.17 for Antalyaspor.

What was the final score of Alanyaspor vs Antalyaspor?

Alanyaspor 1-1 Antalyaspor in the Turkey - Super League on 24/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alanyaspor vs Antalyaspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alanyaspor win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Alanyaspor 51%, draw 23%, Antalyaspor 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Alanyaspor), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Alanyaspor) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →